Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Korea Aerospace Industries, Ltd. (047810.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25,286.91 - $52,890.55$35,721.63
Multi-Stage$27,259.78 - $29,858.03$28,534.69
Blended Fair Value$32,128.16
Current Price$108,000.00
Upside-70.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.11%9.60%499.52249.76199.81199.81399.61199.810.00679.34399.61249.75
YoY Growth--100.00%25.00%0.00%-50.00%100.00%0.00%-100.00%70.00%60.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--0.67%0.48%0.42%0.47%1.09%0.95%0.00%1.36%0.69%0.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)137,094.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48,737.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)88,356.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27,418.8317,136.7710,282.06
Cash Retained (M)88,356.5988,356.5988,356.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-27,418.83-17,136.77-10,282.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)60,937.7671,219.8278,074.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.5797.5797.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share624.56729.94800.20
LTM Dividend per Share499.52499.52499.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share624.56729.94800.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,124.081,229.461,299.71
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate3.08%4.08%5.08%
Fair Value$25,286.91$35,721.63$52,890.55
Upside / Downside-76.59%-66.92%-51.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)137,094.14142,687.11148,508.24154,566.87160,872.66167,435.70172,458.77
Payout Ratio35.55%46.44%57.33%68.22%79.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48,737.5566,264.3885,140.16105,445.78127,266.50150,692.13159,524.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate3.08%4.08%5.08%
Year 1 PV (M)60,957.2661,548.6262,139.98
Year 2 PV (M)72,048.5273,453.2274,871.48
Year 3 PV (M)82,085.2584,497.4886,956.52
Year 4 PV (M)91,137.1294,725.4998,418.79
Year 5 PV (M)99,269.79104,179.32109,281.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,254,218.242,365,703.972,481,557.66
Equity Value (M)2,659,716.182,784,108.112,913,225.65
Shares Outstanding (M)97.5797.5797.57
Fair Value$27,259.78$28,534.69$29,858.03
Upside / Downside-74.76%-73.58%-72.35%

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