Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Paradise Co., Ltd. (034230.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12,596.46 - $21,890.56$16,579.07
Multi-Stage$24,975.78 - $27,503.80$26,215.14
Blended Fair Value$21,397.11
Current Price$10,320.00
Upside107.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.27%-13.09%97.350.000.000.0096.0496.0496.04288.12360.15482.15
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-66.67%-20.00%-25.30%21.79%
Dividend Yield--0.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.58%0.74%0.53%1.37%2.61%3.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87,078.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,634.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)78,443.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,415.7110,884.826,530.89
Cash Retained (M)78,443.7878,443.7878,443.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,415.71-10,884.82-6,530.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)61,028.0767,558.9671,912.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.7088.7088.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share688.05761.68810.77
LTM Dividend per Share97.3597.3597.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share688.05761.68810.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend785.40859.03908.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.05%6.05%6.05%
Growth Rate-0.18%0.82%1.82%
Fair Value$12,596.46$16,579.07$21,890.56
Upside / Downside22.06%60.65%112.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87,078.5587,796.6388,520.6389,250.6089,986.5990,728.6593,450.50
Payout Ratio9.92%25.93%41.95%57.97%73.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,634.7822,768.1837,134.0951,735.3966,574.9781,655.7886,441.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.05%6.05%6.05%
Growth Rate-0.18%0.82%1.82%
Year 1 PV (M)21,256.6021,469.5421,682.48
Year 2 PV (M)32,367.0933,018.8233,677.05
Year 3 PV (M)42,100.1943,378.1344,681.68
Year 4 PV (M)50,579.3052,636.6854,756.21
Year 5 PV (M)57,918.0960,877.7963,957.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,011,067.872,113,836.372,220,763.88
Equity Value (M)2,215,289.152,325,217.342,439,518.55
Shares Outstanding (M)88.7088.7088.70
Fair Value$24,975.78$26,215.14$27,503.80
Upside / Downside142.01%154.02%166.51%

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