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Definitive Analysis

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NICE Information Service Co., Ltd. (030190.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65,718.02 - $169,881.16$159,203.53
Multi-Stage$24,353.47 - $26,651.67$25,481.48
Blended Fair Value$92,342.50
Current Price$12,340.00
Upside648.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS20.11%15.01%330.64275.53230.45190.37140.27132.25122.08101.7391.5691.56
YoY Growth--20.00%19.57%21.05%35.71%6.06%8.33%20.00%11.11%0.00%12.10%
Dividend Yield--2.68%1.40%1.30%1.08%0.79%0.75%0.69%0.58%0.52%0.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50,968.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19,728.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)31,239.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,193.626,371.013,822.61
Cash Retained (M)31,239.7931,239.7931,239.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,193.62-6,371.01-3,822.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,046.1724,868.7727,417.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.6759.6759.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share352.73416.79459.50
LTM Dividend per Share330.64330.64330.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share352.73416.79459.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend683.37747.43790.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$65,718.02$159,203.53$169,881.16
Upside / Downside432.56%1,190.14%1,276.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50,968.1154,281.0457,809.3061,566.9165,568.7669,830.7371,925.65
Payout Ratio38.71%48.97%59.22%69.48%79.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19,728.3226,579.1234,237.1642,778.4652,285.4762,847.6566,531.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24,700.0724,934.2025,168.32
Year 2 PV (M)29,567.4030,130.5830,699.07
Year 3 PV (M)34,331.9335,317.4836,321.71
Year 4 PV (M)38,995.2640,494.9142,037.40
Year 5 PV (M)43,558.9745,662.8847,847.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,281,942.671,343,860.981,408,149.04
Equity Value (M)1,453,096.301,520,401.021,590,222.86
Shares Outstanding (M)59.6759.6759.67
Fair Value$24,353.47$25,481.48$26,651.67
Upside / Downside97.35%106.49%115.98%

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