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Definitive Analysis

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sindoh Co.,Ltd. (029530.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31,386.45 - $44,373.47$37,808.65
Multi-Stage$90,937.12 - $100,539.64$95,639.98
Blended Fair Value$66,724.31
Current Price$44,250.00
Upside50.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.84%-5.23%1,500.271,509.181,652.420.001,140.461,824.741,881.761,710.691,368.551,710.69
YoY Growth---0.59%-8.67%0.00%-100.00%-37.50%-3.03%10.00%25.00%-20.00%-33.33%
Dividend Yield--3.99%3.81%4.90%0.00%3.80%8.18%3.95%2.57%2.69%3.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)43,598.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,934.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,664.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,719.695,449.813,269.88
Cash Retained (M)30,664.2930,664.2930,664.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,719.69-5,449.81-3,269.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,944.6025,214.4827,394.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.628.628.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,545.412,924.693,177.54
LTM Dividend per Share1,500.271,500.271,500.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,545.412,924.693,177.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,045.674,424.964,677.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate-5.84%-4.84%-3.84%
Fair Value$31,386.45$37,808.65$44,373.47
Upside / Downside-29.07%-14.56%0.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)43,598.4641,488.2039,480.0837,569.1635,750.7334,020.3235,040.93
Payout Ratio29.67%41.73%53.80%65.87%77.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,934.1717,314.3821,240.2624,745.5427,861.7330,618.2932,412.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate-5.84%-4.84%-3.84%
Year 1 PV (M)16,117.5316,288.7016,459.87
Year 2 PV (M)18,405.3018,798.3219,195.48
Year 3 PV (M)19,960.5120,603.2421,259.63
Year 4 PV (M)20,920.6121,823.6022,755.50
Year 5 PV (M)21,401.2322,562.0623,772.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)687,186.44724,460.23763,334.18
Equity Value (M)783,991.62824,536.14866,777.38
Shares Outstanding (M)8.628.628.62
Fair Value$90,937.12$95,639.98$100,539.64
Upside / Downside105.51%116.14%127.21%

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