Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Soosan Cebotics Co., Ltd. (017550.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,317.85 - $3,843.59$2,992.48
Multi-Stage$2,484.64 - $2,722.83$2,601.51
Blended Fair Value$2,797.00
Current Price$1,805.00
Upside54.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%10.028.678.678.268.260.000.008.260.0012.16
YoY Growth--15.59%0.00%4.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.57%0.41%0.32%0.26%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.54%0.00%0.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,155.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)624.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,531.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,431.161,519.48911.69
Cash Retained (M)11,531.8111,531.8111,531.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,431.16-1,519.48-911.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,100.6410,012.3310,620.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.2562.2562.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share146.19160.84170.60
LTM Dividend per Share10.0210.0210.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share146.19160.84170.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend156.22170.86180.62
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate2.63%3.63%4.63%
Fair Value$2,317.85$2,992.48$3,843.59
Upside / Downside28.41%65.79%112.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,155.8112,597.2113,054.6313,528.6614,019.9114,528.9914,964.86
Payout Ratio5.13%22.11%39.08%56.05%73.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)624.002,784.835,101.757,583.2710,238.2713,076.0913,842.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate2.63%3.63%4.63%
Year 1 PV (M)2,517.572,542.102,566.63
Year 2 PV (M)4,169.534,251.184,333.62
Year 3 PV (M)5,602.835,768.215,936.81
Year 4 PV (M)6,838.517,108.967,387.35
Year 5 PV (M)7,895.818,288.058,695.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,647.75133,988.89140,579.56
Equity Value (M)154,672.01161,947.39169,499.70
Shares Outstanding (M)62.2562.2562.25
Fair Value$2,484.64$2,601.51$2,722.83
Upside / Downside37.65%44.13%50.85%

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