Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wenzhou Yihua Connector Co., Ltd. (002897.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.08 - $173.23$70.14
Multi-Stage$19.22 - $21.00$20.09
Blended Fair Value$45.12
Current Price$48.21
Upside-6.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.74%17.43%0.580.650.630.450.380.190.330.220.220.15
YoY Growth---10.57%3.07%40.60%17.24%106.87%-43.38%51.44%-1.32%50.74%24.33%
Dividend Yield--1.39%1.86%1.35%1.18%1.68%0.62%1.39%0.89%1.18%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)162.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)90.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)71.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.4020.2512.15
Cash Retained (M)71.6271.6271.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.40-20.25-12.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.2251.3759.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)186.00186.00186.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.280.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.280.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.700.760.81
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$34.08$70.14$173.23
Upside / Downside-29.31%45.49%259.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)162.01172.55183.76195.71208.43221.97228.63
Payout Ratio55.79%62.63%69.47%76.32%83.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)90.39108.07127.67149.36173.32199.78211.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)99.44100.38101.33
Year 2 PV (M)108.09110.15112.23
Year 3 PV (M)116.36119.70123.10
Year 4 PV (M)124.25129.03133.94
Year 5 PV (M)131.78138.14144.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,995.353,140.033,290.24
Equity Value (M)3,575.273,737.443,905.60
Shares Outstanding (M)186.00186.00186.00
Fair Value$19.22$20.09$21.00
Upside / Downside-60.13%-58.32%-56.44%

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