Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Gettop Acoustic Co., Ltd. (002655.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.72 - $46.07$17.36
Multi-Stage$4.90 - $5.36$5.13
Blended Fair Value$11.24
Current Price$13.69
Upside-17.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.75%8.74%0.070.060.020.030.040.050.060.060.050.04
YoY Growth--11.97%263.52%-48.18%-21.60%-3.70%-22.87%-1.71%19.67%24.62%28.42%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.57%0.13%0.30%0.66%0.49%0.60%0.54%0.36%0.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.7210.456.27
Cash Retained (M)58.5658.5658.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.72-10.45-6.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.8448.1152.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)360.89360.89360.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.74%7.74%7.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8.72$17.36$46.07
Upside / Downside-36.34%26.82%236.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.6189.0494.83100.99107.56114.55117.99
Payout Ratio29.95%41.96%53.97%65.98%77.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.0437.3651.1866.6483.89103.10109.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.74%7.74%7.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34.3534.6835.00
Year 2 PV (M)43.2744.0944.92
Year 3 PV (M)51.7953.2854.79
Year 4 PV (M)59.9462.2564.62
Year 5 PV (M)67.7371.0074.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,511.591,584.601,660.40
Equity Value (M)1,768.671,849.891,934.14
Shares Outstanding (M)360.89360.89360.89
Fair Value$4.90$5.13$5.36
Upside / Downside-64.20%-62.56%-60.85%

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