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Definitive Analysis

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Hyundai Motor Securities Co., Ltd. (001500.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,972.19 - $29,779.27$21,614.75
Multi-Stage$23,194.74 - $25,469.39$24,310.39
Blended Fair Value$22,962.57
Current Price$8,330.00
Upside175.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.43%0.00%318.35415.22576.75483.56438.73268.91239.03239.03268.9189.64
YoY Growth---23.33%-28.01%19.27%10.22%63.15%12.50%0.00%-11.11%200.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.65%5.10%7.09%4.72%3.64%4.16%2.72%2.46%2.70%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52,573.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14,074.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,499.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,514.606,571.633,942.98
Cash Retained (M)38,499.0038,499.0038,499.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,514.60-6,571.63-3,942.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,984.4031,927.3834,556.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.0949.0949.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share570.02650.33703.87
LTM Dividend per Share286.67286.67286.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share570.02650.33703.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend856.69937.00990.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate1.43%2.43%3.43%
Fair Value$15,972.19$21,614.75$29,779.27
Upside / Downside91.74%159.48%257.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52,573.0053,852.0055,162.1156,504.1057,878.7359,286.8061,065.41
Payout Ratio26.77%39.42%52.06%64.71%77.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14,074.0021,226.4728,718.6336,562.7644,771.5653,358.1256,485.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate1.43%2.43%3.43%
Year 1 PV (M)19,667.4519,861.3520,055.24
Year 2 PV (M)24,654.9525,143.4825,636.80
Year 3 PV (M)29,083.7029,952.3930,838.21
Year 4 PV (M)32,997.6534,318.2835,678.17
Year 5 PV (M)36,437.7538,269.6740,174.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)995,883.741,045,952.091,098,014.26
Equity Value (M)1,138,725.251,193,497.271,250,397.22
Shares Outstanding (M)49.0949.0949.09
Fair Value$23,194.74$24,310.39$25,469.39
Upside / Downside178.45%191.84%205.75%

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