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Definitive Analysis

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JW Pharmaceutical Corporation (001060.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$449,822.78 - $530,008.22$496,676.40
Multi-Stage$120,808.82 - $132,502.56$126,546.76
Blended Fair Value$311,611.58
Current Price$21,250.00
Upside1,366.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.24%14.75%411.91375.61313.32304.69296.35290.46248.04221.37115.56114.83
YoY Growth--9.66%19.88%2.83%2.81%2.03%17.10%12.05%91.56%0.64%10.31%
Dividend Yield--1.99%1.13%1.54%1.17%1.08%1.03%0.74%0.61%0.31%0.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62,788.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11,068.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)51,719.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,557.607,848.504,709.10
Cash Retained (M)51,719.8151,719.8151,719.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,557.60-7,848.50-4,709.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)39,162.2143,871.3147,010.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.4623.4623.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,668.981,869.672,003.46
LTM Dividend per Share471.70471.70471.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,668.981,869.672,003.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,140.682,341.362,475.16
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate5.07%6.07%7.07%
Fair Value$449,822.78$496,676.40$530,008.22
Upside / Downside2,016.81%2,237.30%2,394.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62,788.0266,596.5070,635.9874,920.4979,464.8784,284.9086,813.45
Payout Ratio17.63%32.10%46.58%61.05%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11,068.2121,379.0232,899.9445,739.8360,016.3175,856.4180,302.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate5.07%6.07%7.07%
Year 1 PV (M)20,122.3820,313.9020,505.42
Year 2 PV (M)29,145.9429,703.3930,266.13
Year 3 PV (M)38,138.9639,238.3740,358.70
Year 4 PV (M)47,101.5448,920.5350,791.70
Year 5 PV (M)56,033.7458,751.5961,573.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,644,206.162,772,460.392,905,643.70
Equity Value (M)2,834,748.722,969,388.173,109,139.54
Shares Outstanding (M)23.4623.4623.46
Fair Value$120,808.82$126,546.76$132,502.56
Upside / Downside468.51%495.51%523.54%

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