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Definitive Analysis

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CJ Corporation (001040.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,150,573.91 - $2,289,495.21$2,145,592.31
Multi-Stage$356,401.65 - $390,004.21$372,894.53
Blended Fair Value$1,259,243.42
Current Price$183,500.00
Upside586.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS45.18%14.12%7,880.549,415.782,303.212,003.231,853.241,221.751,234.193,560.603,412.312,305.61
YoY Growth---16.30%308.81%14.97%8.09%51.69%-1.01%-65.34%4.35%48.00%9.56%
Dividend Yield--6.78%7.33%2.21%2.37%1.97%1.89%0.98%2.24%1.96%1.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)386,042.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)188,697.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)197,345.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)77,208.5148,255.3228,953.19
Cash Retained (M)197,345.56197,345.56197,345.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-77,208.51-48,255.32-28,953.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)120,137.04149,090.24168,392.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.5333.5333.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,582.624,446.045,021.65
LTM Dividend per Share5,627.165,627.165,627.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,582.624,446.045,021.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend9,209.7910,073.2010,648.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,150,573.91$2,145,592.31$2,289,495.21
Upside / Downside527.02%1,069.26%1,147.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)386,042.57411,135.33437,859.13466,319.97496,630.77528,911.77544,779.12
Payout Ratio48.88%57.10%65.33%73.55%81.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)188,697.01234,774.21286,044.21342,987.38406,124.63476,020.59503,920.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)218,694.72220,767.66222,840.60
Year 2 PV (M)248,204.12252,931.71257,703.90
Year 3 PV (M)277,231.06285,189.37293,298.54
Year 4 PV (M)305,781.34317,540.83329,636.28
Year 5 PV (M)333,860.71349,986.31366,729.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,567,533.6711,077,949.5011,607,900.14
Equity Value (M)11,951,305.6312,504,365.3813,078,108.53
Shares Outstanding (M)33.5333.5333.53
Fair Value$356,401.65$372,894.53$390,004.21
Upside / Downside94.22%103.21%112.54%

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