Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $956,301.75 - $3,949,959.84 | $2,458,251.08 |
| Multi-Stage | $472,811.64 - $517,218.91 | $494,608.90 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,476,429.99 | |
| Current Price | $100,700.00 | |
| Upside | 1,366.17% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 43.48% | 22.71% | 5,567.30 | 3,560.33 | 3,051.71 | 1,017.24 | 1,169.82 | 915.51 | 813.79 | 1,118.96 | 1,118.96 | 1,025.17 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 56.37% | 16.67% | 200.00% | -13.04% | 27.78% | 12.50% | -27.27% | 0.00% | 9.15% | 42.53% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.03% | 3.28% | 3.77% | 1.37% | 1.41% | 3.52% | 2.30% | 3.61% | 3.02% | 2.12% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 7,828,160.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 2,559,045.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 5,269,115.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1,565,632.00 | 978,520.00 | 587,112.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 5,269,115.00 | 5,269,115.00 | 5,269,115.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1,565,632.00 | -978,520.00 | -587,112.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 3,703,483.00 | 4,290,595.00 | 4,682,003.00 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 394.14 | 394.14 | 394.14 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 9,396.44 | 10,886.05 | 11,879.13 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 6,492.78 | 6,492.78 | 6,492.78 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 9,396.44 | 10,886.05 | 11,879.13 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 15,889.22 | 17,378.83 | 18,371.91 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.25% | 7.25% | 7.25% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $956,301.75 | $2,458,251.08 | $3,949,959.84 |
| Upside / Downside | 849.65% | 2,341.16% | 3,822.50% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 7,828,160.00 | 8,336,990.40 | 8,878,894.78 | 9,456,022.94 | 10,070,664.43 | 10,725,257.62 | 11,047,015.34 |
| Payout Ratio | 32.69% | 44.15% | 55.61% | 67.08% | 78.54% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 2,559,045.00 | 3,680,964.61 | 4,937,921.81 | 6,342,731.36 | 7,909,303.44 | 9,652,731.85 | 10,218,489.19 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.25% | 7.25% | 7.25% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 3,399,815.93 | 3,432,041.67 | 3,464,267.41 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 4,212,420.64 | 4,292,655.42 | 4,373,647.13 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 4,997,555.23 | 5,141,017.09 | 5,287,198.51 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 5,755,900.58 | 5,977,256.28 | 6,204,935.95 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 6,488,122.63 | 6,801,501.38 | 7,126,873.87 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 161,498,746.65 | 169,299,196.50 | 177,398,187.93 |
| Equity Value (M) | 186,352,561.66 | 194,943,668.33 | 203,855,110.80 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 394.14 | 394.14 | 394.14 |
| Fair Value | $472,811.64 | $494,608.90 | $517,218.91 |
| Upside / Downside | 369.52% | 391.17% | 413.62% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORA | Ormat Technologies, Inc. | 0.42% | $0.48 | 21.81% |
| VLTO | Veralto Corporation | 0.42% | $0.42 | 11.39% |
| CEG | Constellation Energy Corporation | 0.41% | $1.52 | 17.38% |
| EXPE | Expedia Group, Inc. | 0.41% | $1.15 | 10.88% |
| GE | GE Aerospace | 0.40% | $1.29 | 17.08% |
| GEHCV | GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. | 0.40% | $0.23 | 5.05% |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. | 0.39% | $0.20 | 8.42% |
| BMNR | Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | 0.39% | $0.12 | 0.85% |
| CHDN | Churchill Downs Incorporated | 0.39% | $0.43 | 7.61% |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products Company | 0.39% | $0.83 | 11.03% |
| AAPL | Apple Inc. | 0.38% | $1.03 | 13.77% |
| AMOT | Allied Motion Technologies Inc. | 0.38% | $0.12 | 21.85% |
| CASY | Casey's General Stores, Inc. | 0.38% | $2.09 | 12.85% |
| EA | Electronic Arts Inc. | 0.38% | $0.77 | 21.92% |
| LOB | Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. | 0.37% | $0.13 | 8.44% |
| PCG-PA | Pacific Gas and Electric Company | 0.37% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 0.36% | $0.16 | 8.09% |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 0.36% | $0.43 | 12.45% |
| LCORX | Leuthold Core Investment Fund | 0.36% | $0.08 | 4.98% |
| LCRIX | Leuthold Core Investment Fund Class Institutional | 0.36% | $0.08 | 4.98% |
| UHAL | U-Haul Holding Company | 0.36% | $0.18 | 17.87% |
| BOX | Box, Inc. | 0.35% | $0.10 | 6.61% |
| HCC | Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | 0.35% | $0.31 | 47.04% |
| MCK | McKesson Corporation | 0.35% | $2.91 | 8.98% |
| CSWI | CSW Industrials, Inc. | 0.34% | $1.02 | 11.93% |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc. | 0.34% | $0.85 | 11.59% |
| SRBK | SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock | 0.34% | $0.05 | 9.61% |
| VHAQ-UN | Viveon Health Acquisition Corp. | 0.34% | $0.04 | 17.38% |
| WWD | Woodward, Inc. | 0.34% | $1.05 | 14.70% |
| AGX | Argan, Inc. | 0.33% | $1.08 | 12.72% |
| PJT | PJT Partners Inc. | 0.33% | $0.56 | 13.70% |
| REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 0.33% | $2.59 | 6.06% |
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings Inc. | 0.32% | $1.16 | 11.15% |
| META | Meta Platforms, Inc. | 0.31% | $2.04 | 8.98% |
| ESAB | ESAB Corporation | 0.30% | $0.34 | 8.52% |
| POWL | Powell Industries, Inc. | 0.30% | $1.05 | 7.31% |
| VC | Visteon Corporation | 0.30% | $0.29 | 2.59% |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. | 0.30% | $0.83 | 12.34% |
| CASH | Pathward Financial, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.21 | 2.52% |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.10 | 6.71% |
| PLUS | ePlus inc. | 0.29% | $0.25 | 5.41% |
| RVTY | Revvity, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.28 | 14.01% |
| TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 0.28% | $1.65 | 9.48% |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology, Inc. | 0.27% | $0.24 | 8.33% |
| VNT | Vontier Corporation | 0.27% | $0.10 | 3.64% |
| DBRG | DigitalBridge Group, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.04 | 9.84% |
| FOUR | Shift4 Payments, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.16 | 7.44% |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc. | 0.26% | $0.82 | 8.01% |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.29 | 10.22% |
| USB-PA | U.S. Bancorp PERP PFD SER A | 0.26% | $2.02 | 43.68% |