Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rosetti Marino S.p.A. (YRM.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,847.20 - $2,176.32$2,039.53
Multi-Stage$1,398.52 - $1,534.78$1,465.38
Blended Fair Value$1,752.45
Current Price$99.50
Upside1,661.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.89%7.18%0.990.000.000.000.490.680.490.300.120.99
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-26.92%36.84%66.67%150.00%-88.00%100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.40%1.69%1.20%0.83%0.34%2.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.435.273.16
Cash Retained (M)26.9326.9326.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.43-5.27-3.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.5021.6623.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.853.853.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.815.636.17
LTM Dividend per Share3.953.953.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.815.636.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.759.5810.12
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,847.20$2,039.53$2,176.32
Upside / Downside1,756.48%1,949.78%2,087.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.1344.8747.7950.8954.2057.7259.45
Payout Ratio36.08%46.86%57.65%68.43%79.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.2021.0327.5534.8342.9351.9555.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20.8021.0021.20
Year 2 PV (M)26.9627.4827.99
Year 3 PV (M)33.7234.6935.68
Year 4 PV (M)41.1342.7144.34
Year 5 PV (M)49.2451.6254.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,212.435,464.205,725.59
Equity Value (M)5,384.295,641.695,908.89
Shares Outstanding (M)3.853.853.85
Fair Value$1,398.52$1,465.38$1,534.78
Upside / Downside1,305.55%1,372.74%1,442.49%

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