Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Yduqs Participações S.A. (YDUQ3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Education & Training ServicesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65.81 - $171.64$160.85
Multi-Stage$24.92 - $27.25$26.06
Blended Fair Value$93.46
Current Price$12.92
Upside623.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.06%3.33%0.280.290.130.500.540.541.770.311.890.36
YoY Growth---0.24%115.02%-73.50%-7.61%0.17%-69.42%472.82%-83.66%428.92%74.31%
Dividend Yield--2.46%1.59%1.88%2.39%2.03%2.44%6.62%0.89%11.90%3.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)244.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)149.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.9030.5618.34
Cash Retained (M)94.5494.5494.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.90-30.56-18.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.6463.9876.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)283.30283.30283.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.230.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.230.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.760.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$65.81$160.85$171.64
Upside / Downside409.34%1,144.97%1,228.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)244.50260.40277.32295.35314.54334.99345.04
Payout Ratio61.33%67.07%72.80%78.53%84.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)149.96174.64201.89231.94265.06301.49319.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)162.28163.81165.35
Year 2 PV (M)174.32177.64180.99
Year 3 PV (M)186.10191.44196.88
Year 4 PV (M)197.61205.21213.03
Year 5 PV (M)208.86218.95229.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,130.086,426.176,733.58
Equity Value (M)7,059.247,383.227,719.26
Shares Outstanding (M)283.30283.30283.30
Fair Value$24.92$26.06$27.25
Upside / Downside92.86%101.71%110.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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