Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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M Winkworth PLC (WINK.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.50 - $12.63$8.03
Multi-Stage$4.27 - $4.65$4.45
Blended Fair Value$6.24
Current Price$2.06
Upside203.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.86%7.55%0.120.120.150.120.070.070.070.070.090.06
YoY Growth--2.51%-19.80%20.31%76.15%-8.16%2.76%2.73%-18.99%37.39%10.17%
Dividend Yield--6.12%7.51%9.18%6.15%4.79%5.73%6.42%6.72%8.72%4.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.700.440.26
Cash Retained (M)0.330.330.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.70-0.44-0.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.37-0.100.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.9912.9912.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.61%9.61%9.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5.50$8.03$12.63
Upside / Downside167.19%289.90%513.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.483.713.954.204.484.774.91
Payout Ratio90.49%90.39%90.29%90.20%90.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.153.353.563.794.034.294.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.61%9.61%9.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.033.063.09
Year 2 PV (M)2.912.973.02
Year 3 PV (M)2.802.882.96
Year 4 PV (M)2.692.792.90
Year 5 PV (M)2.592.712.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)41.4443.4545.52
Equity Value (M)55.4657.8560.34
Shares Outstanding (M)12.9912.9912.99
Fair Value$4.27$4.45$4.65
Upside / Downside107.30%116.25%125.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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