Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NXP Semiconductors N.V. (VNX.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$334.82 - $1,608.50$725.56
Multi-Stage$182.42 - $199.35$190.73
Blended Fair Value$458.14
Current Price$225.19
Upside103.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.61%0.00%4.073.953.202.211.651.250.290.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.18%23.44%45.02%33.81%31.66%331.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.15%1.64%1.75%1.18%0.83%1.43%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,061.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,029.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,032.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)412.20257.63154.58
Cash Retained (M)1,032.001,032.001,032.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-412.20-257.63-154.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)619.80774.38877.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)254.82254.82254.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.433.043.44
LTM Dividend per Share4.044.044.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.433.043.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.477.087.48
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$334.82$725.56$1,608.50
Upside / Downside48.68%222.20%614.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,061.002,194.972,337.642,489.582,651.412,823.752,908.46
Payout Ratio49.93%57.94%65.96%73.97%81.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,029.001,271.801,541.821,841.572,173.772,541.372,690.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,171.541,182.641,193.75
Year 2 PV (M)1,308.311,333.221,358.38
Year 3 PV (M)1,439.461,480.791,522.89
Year 4 PV (M)1,565.181,625.371,687.28
Year 5 PV (M)1,685.611,767.031,851.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)39,314.5541,213.4643,185.05
Equity Value (M)46,484.6548,602.5150,798.91
Shares Outstanding (M)254.82254.82254.82
Fair Value$182.42$190.73$199.35
Upside / Downside-18.99%-15.30%-11.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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