Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Vontier Corporation (VNT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.51 - $26.42$22.39
Multi-Stage$27.85 - $30.64$29.21
Blended Fair Value$25.80
Current Price$42.16
Upside-38.80%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.100.110.090.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.94%-2.52%25.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.31%0.23%0.39%0.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)406.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)391.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.2250.7630.46
Cash Retained (M)391.30391.30391.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.22-50.76-30.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)310.08340.54360.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)149.05149.05149.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.082.282.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.082.282.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.182.382.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18.51$22.39$26.42
Upside / Downside-56.10%-46.89%-37.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)406.10402.04398.02394.04390.10386.20397.78
Payout Ratio3.64%20.92%38.19%55.46%72.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.8084.09151.99218.52283.71347.58367.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)75.9976.7777.54
Year 2 PV (M)124.12126.67129.24
Year 3 PV (M)161.27166.26171.35
Year 4 PV (M)189.21197.06205.14
Year 5 PV (M)209.48220.39231.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,390.773,567.343,751.18
Equity Value (M)4,150.854,354.474,566.20
Shares Outstanding (M)149.05149.05149.05
Fair Value$27.85$29.21$30.64
Upside / Downside-33.95%-30.70%-27.34%

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