Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Vitec Software Group AB (publ) (VIT-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$433.60 - $1,983.05$987.55
Multi-Stage$226.83 - $248.09$237.26
Blended Fair Value$612.41
Current Price$331.40
Upside84.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.00%22.29%2.742.081.711.340.840.980.820.740.660.49
YoY Growth--32.15%21.32%28.13%59.73%-14.21%18.23%11.65%11.11%34.33%34.92%
Dividend Yield--0.50%0.38%0.32%0.27%0.22%0.54%0.89%0.88%1.01%0.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)396.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)131.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)265.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)79.3749.6129.76
Cash Retained (M)265.74265.74265.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-79.37-49.61-29.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)186.37216.13235.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.8039.8039.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.685.435.93
LTM Dividend per Share3.293.293.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.685.435.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.988.729.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$433.60$987.55$1,983.05
Upside / Downside30.84%197.99%498.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)396.85422.65450.12479.38510.54543.72560.03
Payout Ratio33.04%44.43%55.82%67.22%78.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)131.12187.79251.27322.22401.32489.35518.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)173.14174.78176.42
Year 2 PV (M)213.60217.67221.78
Year 3 PV (M)252.55259.80267.19
Year 4 PV (M)290.02301.17312.64
Year 5 PV (M)326.05341.80358.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,772.288,147.688,537.45
Equity Value (M)9,027.649,442.909,873.63
Shares Outstanding (M)39.8039.8039.80
Fair Value$226.83$237.26$248.09
Upside / Downside-31.55%-28.41%-25.14%

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