Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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ReposiTrak, Inc. (TRAK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.72 - $5.84$4.69
Multi-Stage$5.31 - $5.82$5.56
Blended Fair Value$5.13
Current Price$14.82
Upside-65.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.090.070.030.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---3.79%21.68%141.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.58%0.49%0.84%0.57%0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.430.890.53
Cash Retained (M)5.505.505.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.43-0.89-0.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.074.604.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.1419.1419.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.34
WACC / Discount Rate8.49%8.49%8.49%
Growth Rate0.44%1.44%2.44%
Fair Value$3.72$4.69$5.84
Upside / Downside-74.90%-68.34%-60.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.137.247.347.457.557.667.89
Payout Ratio22.94%36.35%49.77%63.18%76.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.642.633.654.705.786.907.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.49%8.49%8.49%
Growth Rate0.44%1.44%2.44%
Year 1 PV (M)2.402.422.45
Year 2 PV (M)3.043.103.16
Year 3 PV (M)3.583.683.79
Year 4 PV (M)4.014.184.34
Year 5 PV (M)4.374.594.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)84.1988.4792.91
Equity Value (M)101.59106.44111.48
Shares Outstanding (M)19.1419.1419.14
Fair Value$5.31$5.56$5.82
Upside / Downside-64.18%-62.47%-60.70%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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