Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Tennant Company (TNC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.55 - $69.68$52.34
Multi-Stage$45.51 - $49.81$47.62
Blended Fair Value$49.98
Current Price$81.06
Upside-38.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.99%3.98%1.141.071.000.930.870.850.820.790.760.77
YoY Growth--6.47%6.35%8.00%7.36%1.88%4.28%2.61%4.62%-1.41%0.08%
Dividend Yield--1.43%0.87%1.47%1.18%1.08%1.47%1.32%1.17%1.05%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)32.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.966.854.11
Cash Retained (M)32.9032.9032.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.96-6.85-4.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.9426.0528.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.8118.8118.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.171.381.53
LTM Dividend per Share1.161.161.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.171.381.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.332.552.69
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate2.58%3.58%4.58%
Fair Value$39.55$52.34$69.68
Upside / Downside-51.21%-35.43%-14.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.8056.7658.8060.9063.0965.3567.31
Payout Ratio39.96%49.97%59.98%69.99%79.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.9028.3735.2742.6250.4658.8162.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate2.58%3.58%4.58%
Year 1 PV (M)25.8626.1126.36
Year 2 PV (M)29.3129.8930.47
Year 3 PV (M)32.3033.2534.23
Year 4 PV (M)34.8636.2437.66
Year 5 PV (M)37.0438.8840.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)696.75731.38767.37
Equity Value (M)856.13895.76936.89
Shares Outstanding (M)18.8118.8118.81
Fair Value$45.51$47.62$49.81
Upside / Downside-43.85%-41.25%-38.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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