Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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FW Thorpe Plc (TFW.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.66 - $16.55$10.95
Multi-Stage$5.71 - $6.23$5.97
Blended Fair Value$8.46
Current Price$3.18
Upside165.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.01%7.95%0.070.060.100.060.060.050.050.040.060.05
YoY Growth--5.03%-39.56%82.16%2.52%2.68%9.80%18.09%-26.96%19.79%55.61%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.66%2.71%1.28%1.83%1.69%1.47%1.06%2.53%2.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.375.863.51
Cash Retained (M)28.3828.3828.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.37-5.86-3.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.0122.5324.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)117.31117.31117.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.66$10.95$16.55
Upside / Downside140.89%244.20%420.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.8449.8953.1356.5960.2664.1866.11
Payout Ratio39.41%49.53%59.65%69.76%79.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.4624.7131.6939.4848.1457.7661.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)22.2722.4822.69
Year 2 PV (M)25.7526.2426.73
Year 3 PV (M)28.9129.7430.59
Year 4 PV (M)31.7833.0034.26
Year 5 PV (M)34.3736.0337.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)527.34552.81579.26
Equity Value (M)670.42700.30731.28
Shares Outstanding (M)117.31117.31117.31
Fair Value$5.71$5.97$6.23
Upside / Downside79.71%87.72%96.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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