Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TCS Group Holding PLC (TCSG.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31,638.76 - $114,400.18$100,288.02
Multi-Stage$14,354.47 - $15,712.75$15,021.14
Blended Fair Value$57,654.58
Current Price$3,268.00
Upside1,664.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.26%20.01%92.970.000.0015.4550.4923.8650.8833.9518.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-69.39%111.62%-53.11%49.89%88.55%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.38%0.00%0.00%0.47%1.15%2.65%4.22%2.81%1.49%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)135,049.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,381.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)105,667.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27,009.8016,881.1310,128.68
Cash Retained (M)105,667.13105,667.13105,667.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-27,009.80-16,881.13-10,128.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)78,657.3288,786.0095,538.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)234.77234.77234.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share335.04378.18406.94
LTM Dividend per Share125.15125.15125.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share335.04378.18406.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend460.19503.33532.09
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31,638.76$100,288.02$114,400.18
Upside / Downside868.14%2,968.79%3,400.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)135,049.02143,827.21153,175.98163,132.41173,736.02185,028.86190,579.73
Payout Ratio21.76%35.41%49.05%62.70%76.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,381.8950,922.2775,138.76102,288.24132,649.70166,525.98176,286.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)47,128.8447,575.5648,022.28
Year 2 PV (M)64,360.9065,586.7966,824.25
Year 3 PV (M)81,089.1683,416.9485,788.85
Year 4 PV (M)97,324.55101,067.37104,917.13
Year 5 PV (M)113,077.74118,539.44124,210.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,967,036.463,110,345.433,259,139.17
Equity Value (M)3,370,017.653,526,531.543,688,901.85
Shares Outstanding (M)234.77234.77234.77
Fair Value$14,354.47$15,021.14$15,712.75
Upside / Downside339.24%359.64%380.81%

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