Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

STMicroelectronics N.V. (STMMI.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.19 - $40.28$22.14
Multi-Stage$12.45 - $13.61$13.02
Blended Fair Value$17.58
Current Price$27.98
Upside-37.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.12%-2.04%0.310.240.230.220.180.230.230.230.270.38
YoY Growth--29.15%5.19%3.41%22.02%-21.50%-0.93%0.93%-14.74%-28.29%-1.13%
Dividend Yield--1.45%0.58%0.43%0.51%0.48%1.06%1.53%1.05%1.79%6.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)535.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)320.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)215.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)107.2067.0040.20
Cash Retained (M)215.21215.21215.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-107.20-67.00-40.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)108.01148.21175.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)920.53920.53920.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate4.12%5.12%6.12%
Fair Value$14.19$22.14$40.28
Upside / Downside-49.30%-20.87%43.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)535.98563.42592.27622.59654.46687.97708.61
Payout Ratio59.85%65.88%71.91%77.94%83.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)320.77371.17425.89485.24549.55619.17655.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate4.12%5.12%6.12%
Year 1 PV (M)341.87345.15348.43
Year 2 PV (M)361.30368.27375.31
Year 3 PV (M)379.15390.18401.42
Year 4 PV (M)395.50410.91426.77
Year 5 PV (M)410.42430.51451.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,572.8910,041.5110,528.31
Equity Value (M)11,461.1211,986.5312,531.63
Shares Outstanding (M)920.53920.53920.53
Fair Value$12.45$13.02$13.61
Upside / Downside-55.50%-53.46%-51.35%

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