Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SKAN Group AG (SKAN.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54.99 - $164.10$87.06
Multi-Stage$36.57 - $39.96$38.23
Blended Fair Value$62.65
Current Price$71.60
Upside-12.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%22.36%0.350.250.240.470.000.000.000.000.000.60
YoY Growth--39.99%4.17%-49.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%1,200.26%
Dividend Yield--0.46%0.31%0.38%0.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.686.053.63
Cash Retained (M)35.4835.4835.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.68-6.05-3.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.8029.4331.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.4822.4822.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.151.311.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.570.570.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.151.311.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.721.881.99
WACC / Discount Rate8.80%8.80%8.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$54.99$87.06$164.10
Upside / Downside-23.20%21.59%129.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.4151.5654.9158.4862.2866.3368.32
Payout Ratio26.70%39.36%52.02%64.68%77.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.9320.2928.5737.8348.1759.7063.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.80%8.80%8.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)18.4818.6518.83
Year 2 PV (M)23.6824.1324.58
Year 3 PV (M)28.5529.3730.20
Year 4 PV (M)33.1034.3735.68
Year 5 PV (M)37.3439.1541.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)681.03713.93748.08
Equity Value (M)822.17859.59898.39
Shares Outstanding (M)22.4822.4822.48
Fair Value$36.57$38.23$39.96
Upside / Downside-48.93%-46.60%-44.19%

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