Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1,312.18 - $6,929.64 | $2,369.28 |
| Multi-Stage | $1,145.44 - $1,252.56 | $1,198.01 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,783.65 | |
| Current Price | $535.00 | |
| Upside | 233.39% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 11.03% | 10.31% | 36.21 | 35.81 | 36.42 | 34.14 | 25.95 | 21.46 | 21.96 | 12.98 | 12.36 | 12.07 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 1.12% | -1.66% | 6.66% | 31.54% | 20.93% | -2.27% | 69.23% | 5.01% | 2.36% | -11.11% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.47% | 5.87% | 4.19% | 3.35% | 3.33% | 3.70% | 4.43% | 3.85% | 4.41% | 4.87% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,211,453.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,167,522.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 43,931.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 242,290.60 | 151,431.63 | 90,858.98 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 43,931.00 | 43,931.00 | 43,931.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -242,290.60 | -151,431.63 | -90,858.98 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -198,359.60 | -107,500.63 | -46,927.98 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 29,822.77 | 29,822.77 | 29,822.77 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -6.65 | -3.60 | -1.57 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 39.15 | 39.15 | 39.15 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -6.65 | -3.60 | -1.57 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 32.50 | 35.54 | 37.58 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.53% | 6.53% | 6.53% |
| Growth Rate | 3.95% | 4.95% | 5.95% |
| Fair Value | $1,312.18 | $2,369.28 | $6,929.64 |
| Upside / Downside | 145.27% | 342.86% | 1,195.26% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,211,453.00 | 1,271,468.88 | 1,334,457.97 | 1,400,567.57 | 1,469,952.27 | 1,542,774.31 | 1,589,057.54 |
| Payout Ratio | 96.37% | 95.10% | 93.82% | 92.55% | 91.27% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,167,522.00 | 1,209,153.62 | 1,252,044.73 | 1,296,217.97 | 1,341,695.09 | 1,388,496.88 | 1,469,878.22 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.53% | 6.53% | 6.53% |
| Growth Rate | 3.95% | 4.95% | 5.95% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,124,236.34 | 1,135,051.08 | 1,145,865.83 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,082,360.98 | 1,103,284.97 | 1,124,409.29 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,041,853.03 | 1,072,209.93 | 1,103,150.85 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,002,670.86 | 1,041,812.46 | 1,082,089.01 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 964,774.04 | 1,012,079.32 | 1,061,222.27 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 28,944,370.77 | 30,363,585.53 | 31,837,932.38 |
| Equity Value (M) | 34,160,266.02 | 35,728,023.30 | 37,354,669.63 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 29,822.77 | 29,822.77 | 29,822.77 |
| Fair Value | $1,145.44 | $1,198.01 | $1,252.56 |
| Upside / Downside | 114.10% | 123.93% | 134.12% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KKR | KKR & Co. Inc. | 0.55% | $0.71 | 28.86% |
| UHS | Universal Health Services, Inc. | 0.55% | $1.21 | 5.70% |
| 0I0T.L | Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | 0.54% | $0.81 | 11.41% |
| HSTM | HealthStream, Inc. | 0.54% | $0.12 | 17.69% |
| LLY | Eli Lilly and Company | 0.54% | $5.79 | 28.28% |
| TECH | Bio-Techne Corporation | 0.54% | $0.32 | 64.31% |
| TRU | TransUnion | 0.54% | $0.45 | 21.24% |
| VST | Vistra Corp. | 0.54% | $0.89 | 26.39% |
| 0R2Z.L | Mastercard Incorporated | 0.52% | $2.96 | 18.79% |
| DHR | Danaher Corporation | 0.52% | $1.19 | 24.18% |
| MKSI | MKS Inc. | 0.52% | $0.87 | 21.15% |
| 0JT5.L | Lam Research Corporation | 0.51% | $0.93 | 20.32% |
| 0JZ0.L | Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. | 0.51% | $3.22 | 16.93% |
| EVTC | EVERTEC, Inc. | 0.51% | $0.15 | 6.55% |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive, Inc. | 0.51% | $2.01 | 6.83% |
| MUSA | Murphy USA Inc. | 0.51% | $2.05 | 8.36% |
| PCG | Pacific Gas & Electric Co. | 0.51% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| CHE | Chemed Corporation | 0.50% | $2.11 | 11.01% |
| FBIO | Fortress Biotech, Inc. | 0.50% | $0.02 | 16.65% |
| HWKN | Hawkins, Inc. | 0.50% | $0.73 | 18.33% |
| NMRK | Newmark Group, Inc. | 0.50% | $0.08 | 20.64% |
| PRLH | Pearl Holdings Acquisition Corp | 0.50% | $0.06 | 54.69% |
| EXP | Eagle Materials Inc. | 0.48% | $1.02 | 7.46% |
| FCAX | Fortress Capital Acquisition Corp. | 0.48% | $0.05 | 6.11% |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporation | 0.48% | $0.54 | 13.95% |
| AAON | AAON, Inc. | 0.47% | $0.37 | 30.87% |
| CR | Crane Company | 0.47% | $0.88 | 14.07% |
| HGTY | Hagerty, Inc. | 0.47% | $0.06 | 12.93% |
| IDCC | InterDigital, Inc. | 0.47% | $1.55 | 10.87% |
| PCG-PI | Pacific Gas and Electric Company PFD 1ST 4.36% | 0.47% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| SEB | Seaboard Corporation | 0.47% | $20.86 | 5.03% |
| AMEH | Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. | 0.46% | $0.18 | 93.62% |
| IDT | IDT Corporation | 0.46% | $0.23 | 7.15% |
| KAI | Kadant Inc. | 0.46% | $1.32 | 15.23% |
| PRGS | Progress Software Corporation | 0.46% | $0.19 | 17.10% |
| UI | Ubiquiti Inc. | 0.46% | $2.60 | 19.86% |
| WWE | World Wrestling Entertainment, Inc. | 0.46% | $0.46 | 21.62% |
| APH | Amphenol Corporation | 0.45% | $0.62 | 20.92% |
| DIS | The Walt Disney Company | 0.45% | $0.50 | 7.30% |
| ENTG | Entegris, Inc. | 0.45% | $0.40 | 21.08% |
| PCG-PC | Pacific Gas and Electric Company PFD 1ST 5% | 0.45% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| WMS | Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. | 0.45% | $0.68 | 11.54% |
| REVG | REV Group, Inc. | 0.44% | $0.27 | 14.08% |
| RYAN | Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | 0.44% | $0.22 | 87.54% |
| TRS | TriMas Corporation | 0.44% | $0.16 | 14.97% |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | 0.44% | $0.96 | 13.90% |
| WING | Wingstop Inc. | 0.44% | $1.14 | 18.31% |
| TW | Tradeweb Markets Inc. | 0.43% | $0.46 | 15.57% |
| IBKR | Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | 0.42% | $0.28 | 13.63% |
| MTRN | Materion Corporation | 0.42% | $0.55 | 58.77% |