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Definitive Analysis

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SBM Offshore N.V. (SBMO.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$171.37 - $862.52$355.81
Multi-Stage$103.38 - $113.03$108.12
Blended Fair Value$231.96
Current Price$26.52
Upside774.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.18%62.00%1.381.100.980.921.290.600.570.520.360.01
YoY Growth--25.76%11.86%6.63%-28.76%115.74%4.85%10.75%45.31%3,100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.87%8.00%6.26%6.18%6.80%3.22%3.86%2.87%2.26%0.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)784.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)419.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)365.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)156.8098.0058.80
Cash Retained (M)365.00365.00365.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-156.80-98.00-58.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)208.20267.00306.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)180.14180.14180.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.481.70
LTM Dividend per Share2.332.332.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.481.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.483.814.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate5.13%6.13%7.13%
Fair Value$171.37$355.81$862.52
Upside / Downside546.19%1,241.66%3,152.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)784.00832.02882.99937.08994.481,055.391,087.05
Payout Ratio53.44%60.76%68.07%75.38%82.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)419.00505.50601.02706.34822.32949.851,005.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate5.13%6.13%7.13%
Year 1 PV (M)466.84471.28475.72
Year 2 PV (M)512.60522.40532.29
Year 3 PV (M)556.36572.38588.72
Year 4 PV (M)598.17621.25645.00
Year 5 PV (M)638.09669.02701.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,851.7916,620.2217,418.16
Equity Value (M)18,623.8419,476.5520,361.03
Shares Outstanding (M)180.14180.14180.14
Fair Value$103.38$108.12$113.03
Upside / Downside289.84%307.69%326.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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