Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kontron AG (SANT.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$124.82 - $444.11$408.02
Multi-Stage$56.27 - $61.59$58.88
Blended Fair Value$233.45
Current Price$19.46
Upside1,099.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.87%29.30%0.491.000.350.300.000.170.130.080.060.05
YoY Growth---51.37%184.67%16.10%0.00%-100.00%27.38%69.65%39.40%14.52%29.87%
Dividend Yield--2.50%4.83%1.83%1.78%0.00%0.96%0.58%0.43%0.54%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)141.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)104.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.3417.7110.63
Cash Retained (M)104.83104.83104.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.34-17.71-10.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)76.5087.1294.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)63.4563.4563.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.211.371.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.211.371.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.791.952.07
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$124.82$408.02$444.11
Upside / Downside541.40%1,996.73%2,182.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)141.69150.90160.71171.15182.28194.13199.95
Payout Ratio26.01%38.81%51.61%64.40%77.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.8658.5682.94110.23140.72174.71184.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)54.2154.7355.24
Year 2 PV (M)71.0772.4373.79
Year 3 PV (M)87.4589.9692.51
Year 4 PV (M)103.34107.32111.40
Year 5 PV (M)118.77124.51130.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,135.513,286.963,444.20
Equity Value (M)3,570.363,735.893,907.62
Shares Outstanding (M)63.4563.4563.45
Fair Value$56.27$58.88$61.59
Upside / Downside189.17%202.57%216.48%

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