Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rugvista Group AB (publ) (RUG.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Home ImprovementSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.08 - $39.92$32.55
Multi-Stage$56.32 - $61.99$59.10
Blended Fair Value$45.82
Current Price$79.20
Upside-42.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%1.801.502.500.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--20.00%-40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.99%2.18%5.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)34.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.067.544.52
Cash Retained (M)34.3034.3034.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.06-7.54-4.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.2526.7729.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.7620.7620.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.071.291.43
LTM Dividend per Share1.251.251.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.071.291.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.322.542.69
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26.08$32.55$39.92
Upside / Downside-67.07%-58.90%-49.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.2959.6859.0958.4957.9157.3359.05
Payout Ratio43.10%52.48%61.86%71.24%80.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.9831.3236.5541.6746.6951.6054.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29.0529.3529.64
Year 2 PV (M)31.4432.0932.74
Year 3 PV (M)33.2534.2835.33
Year 4 PV (M)34.5535.9837.46
Year 5 PV (M)35.4237.2639.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,005.661,058.031,112.55
Equity Value (M)1,169.361,226.981,286.89
Shares Outstanding (M)20.7620.7620.76
Fair Value$56.32$59.10$61.99
Upside / Downside-28.88%-25.38%-21.73%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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