Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rami Levi Chain Stores Hashikma Marketing 2006 Ltd (RMLI.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$492.39 - $2,226.28$862.55
Multi-Stage$323.29 - $352.24$337.51
Blended Fair Value$600.03
Current Price$305.30
Upside96.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.22%11.86%17.5914.6613.8612.788.385.956.175.234.034.36
YoY Growth--19.93%5.76%8.52%52.38%41.02%-3.68%18.10%29.73%-7.50%-24.05%
Dividend Yield--6.60%6.65%6.51%5.01%3.86%3.03%3.18%3.03%2.62%2.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)217.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)216.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.4827.1716.30
Cash Retained (M)0.570.570.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.48-27.17-16.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)-42.91-26.61-15.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.7813.7813.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share-3.11-1.93-1.14
LTM Dividend per Share15.7415.7415.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share-3.11-1.93-1.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.6213.8114.60
WACC / Discount Rate8.20%8.20%8.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$492.39$862.55$2,226.28
Upside / Downside61.28%182.53%629.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)217.40231.53246.58262.61279.68297.85306.79
Payout Ratio99.74%97.79%95.84%93.90%91.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)216.83226.41236.33246.58257.16268.07283.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.20%8.20%8.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)207.28209.25211.21
Year 2 PV (M)198.07201.85205.66
Year 3 PV (M)189.20194.63200.16
Year 4 PV (M)180.64187.59194.74
Year 5 PV (M)172.40180.72189.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,506.383,675.743,851.58
Equity Value (M)4,453.974,649.774,852.71
Shares Outstanding (M)13.7813.7813.78
Fair Value$323.29$337.51$352.24
Upside / Downside5.89%10.55%15.37%

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