Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Lesha Bank L.L.C (QFBQ.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.34 - $2.02$1.66
Multi-Stage$2.72 - $3.00$2.86
Blended Fair Value$2.26
Current Price$1.86
Upside21.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.14
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%11.82%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)171.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)115.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.3321.4612.87
Cash Retained (M)115.67115.67115.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.33-21.46-12.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)81.3394.21102.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,115.811,115.811,115.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.34$1.66$2.02
Upside / Downside-28.22%-10.82%8.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)171.67169.95168.25166.57164.90163.25168.15
Payout Ratio32.62%44.10%55.57%67.05%78.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56.0074.9493.50111.68129.49146.93155.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)69.3170.0270.72
Year 2 PV (M)79.9781.6183.27
Year 3 PV (M)88.3491.0893.86
Year 4 PV (M)94.7398.66102.70
Year 5 PV (M)99.41104.59109.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,608.482,744.312,885.74
Equity Value (M)3,040.253,190.263,346.28
Shares Outstanding (M)1,115.811,115.811,115.81
Fair Value$2.72$2.86$3.00
Upside / Downside46.49%53.72%61.24%

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