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Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C. (QEWS.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Diversified UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.83 - $73.75$41.48
Multi-Stage$30.47 - $33.38$31.90
Blended Fair Value$36.69
Current Price$15.89
Upside130.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.62%4.99%1.110.950.800.640.770.770.770.750.750.75
YoY Growth--17.20%18.39%25.90%-17.50%0.15%-0.43%3.27%-0.28%0.00%10.00%
Dividend Yield--7.46%5.81%4.74%3.47%4.54%5.64%4.53%3.93%3.41%3.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,254.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)851.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)403.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)250.91156.8294.09
Cash Retained (M)403.14403.14403.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-250.91-156.82-94.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)152.23246.32309.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,100.001,100.001,100.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.220.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.770.770.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.220.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.911.001.05
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate2.99%3.99%4.99%
Fair Value$26.83$41.48$73.75
Upside / Downside68.88%161.05%364.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,254.541,304.651,356.761,410.951,467.311,525.911,571.69
Payout Ratio67.87%72.29%76.72%81.15%85.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)851.40943.161,040.901,144.931,255.621,373.321,453.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate2.99%3.99%4.99%
Year 1 PV (M)877.11885.63894.15
Year 2 PV (M)900.22917.78935.52
Year 3 PV (M)920.85947.94975.55
Year 4 PV (M)939.16976.171,014.26
Year 5 PV (M)955.261,002.551,051.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,925.3030,357.0531,844.95
Equity Value (M)33,517.9035,087.1136,716.10
Shares Outstanding (M)1,100.001,100.001,100.00
Fair Value$30.47$31.90$33.38
Upside / Downside91.76%100.74%110.06%

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