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Qualitas Limited (QAL.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.21 - $39.72$37.22
Multi-Stage$6.10 - $6.67$6.38
Blended Fair Value$21.80
Current Price$3.45
Upside531.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS34.14%0.00%0.080.080.060.000.020.020.010.020.000.00
YoY Growth--7.43%29.92%0.00%-100.00%-1.07%35.86%-36.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.39%3.28%2.20%0.00%0.72%0.73%0.54%0.84%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.927.454.47
Cash Retained (M)20.2120.2120.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.92-7.45-4.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.2912.7615.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)298.36298.36298.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.21$37.22$39.72
Upside / Downside427.96%978.98%1,051.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.5963.4667.5971.9876.6681.6484.09
Payout Ratio66.09%70.87%75.66%80.44%85.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.3944.9851.1457.9065.3373.4877.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)41.8742.2642.66
Year 2 PV (M)44.3045.1546.00
Year 3 PV (M)46.6948.0349.40
Year 4 PV (M)49.0450.9252.86
Year 5 PV (M)51.3453.8256.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,586.621,663.251,742.82
Equity Value (M)1,819.861,903.441,990.13
Shares Outstanding (M)298.36298.36298.36
Fair Value$6.10$6.38$6.67
Upside / Downside76.80%84.92%93.34%

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