Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Objective Corporation Limited (OCL.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.14 - $118.41$60.16
Multi-Stage$13.89 - $15.17$14.52
Blended Fair Value$37.34
Current Price$19.16
Upside94.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS34.76%23.16%0.260.130.110.090.070.060.050.050.040.04
YoY Growth--93.96%23.12%22.82%28.85%17.59%21.29%2.79%22.35%7.36%10.36%
Dividend Yield--1.34%1.13%0.78%0.64%0.39%0.78%1.70%1.32%1.71%1.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)57.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.517.204.32
Cash Retained (M)24.3124.3124.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.51-7.20-4.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.8017.1220.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)96.6896.6896.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.520.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.14$60.16$118.41
Upside / Downside36.44%214.00%517.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)57.5661.3065.2969.5374.0578.8681.23
Payout Ratio57.76%64.21%70.66%77.10%83.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.2539.3646.1353.6161.8770.9875.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)36.3036.6436.99
Year 2 PV (M)39.2339.9740.73
Year 3 PV (M)42.0443.2544.48
Year 4 PV (M)44.7446.4648.23
Year 5 PV (M)47.3349.6251.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,133.091,187.821,244.64
Equity Value (M)1,342.731,403.761,467.06
Shares Outstanding (M)96.6896.6896.68
Fair Value$13.89$14.52$15.17
Upside / Downside-27.51%-24.22%-20.80%

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