Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Navigator Global Investments Limited (NGI.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - GlobalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.05 - $2.82$2.44
Multi-Stage$4.76 - $5.26$5.00
Blended Fair Value$3.72
Current Price$1.12
Upside232.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-9.84%0.51%0.040.020.020.080.050.070.070.060.050.04
YoY Growth--86.30%0.17%-71.34%70.53%-34.70%2.76%12.55%16.02%22.07%7.87%
Dividend Yield--3.77%1.73%2.72%9.77%3.70%9.25%2.64%1.65%3.05%2.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)156.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)125.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.2119.5111.70
Cash Retained (M)125.20125.20125.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.21-19.51-11.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.99105.69113.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)398.06398.06398.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate-6.67%-5.67%-4.67%
Fair Value$2.05$2.44$2.82
Upside / Downside83.37%118.01%151.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)156.06147.22138.88131.01123.59116.58120.08
Payout Ratio19.77%33.82%47.86%61.91%75.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.8649.7966.4781.1193.87104.93111.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate-6.67%-5.67%-4.67%
Year 1 PV (M)45.7946.2846.77
Year 2 PV (M)56.2257.4358.65
Year 3 PV (M)63.0865.1367.22
Year 4 PV (M)67.1470.0673.08
Year 5 PV (M)69.0172.7976.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,592.371,679.521,770.45
Equity Value (M)1,893.601,991.202,092.89
Shares Outstanding (M)398.06398.06398.06
Fair Value$4.76$5.00$5.26
Upside / Downside324.74%346.64%369.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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