Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Maskapai Reasuransi Indonesia Tbk (MREI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - ReinsuranceSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$861.13 - $1,175.05$1,020.61
Multi-Stage$3,686.41 - $4,100.69$3,889.09
Blended Fair Value$2,454.85
Current Price$925.00
Upside165.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-23.01%-7.61%13.4513.450.0049.6249.6749.7454.6441.1034.9229.73
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.09%-0.14%-8.97%32.95%17.70%17.45%0.18%
Dividend Yield--1.78%0.90%0.00%1.54%0.99%0.94%0.85%0.85%0.92%0.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92,098.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,022.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)85,076.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,419.8011,512.376,907.42
Cash Retained (M)85,076.3285,076.3285,076.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,419.80-11,512.37-6,907.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)66,656.5373,563.9578,168.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)517.79517.79517.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share128.73142.07150.97
LTM Dividend per Share13.5613.5613.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share128.73142.07150.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend142.29155.64164.53
WACC / Discount Rate5.33%5.33%5.33%
Growth Rate-9.61%-8.61%-7.61%
Fair Value$861.13$1,020.61$1,175.05
Upside / Downside-6.90%10.34%27.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92,098.9884,171.5776,926.5170,305.0664,253.5658,722.9460,484.63
Payout Ratio7.63%24.10%40.58%57.05%73.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,022.6520,285.4331,212.9840,109.0747,242.4452,850.6555,948.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.33%5.33%5.33%
Growth Rate-9.61%-8.61%-7.61%
Year 1 PV (M)19,048.3519,259.0819,469.81
Year 2 PV (M)27,522.1128,134.4328,753.48
Year 3 PV (M)33,209.5034,323.9135,462.98
Year 4 PV (M)36,730.3738,382.9140,090.60
Year 5 PV (M)38,584.8240,766.8643,046.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,753,696.021,852,870.701,956,482.27
Equity Value (M)1,908,791.172,013,737.892,123,305.67
Shares Outstanding (M)517.79517.79517.79
Fair Value$3,686.41$3,889.09$4,100.69
Upside / Downside298.53%320.44%343.32%

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