Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Multipolar Technology Tbk (MLPT.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,440.50 - $7,867.22$5,014.02
Multi-Stage$2,550.68 - $2,781.02$2,663.78
Blended Fair Value$3,838.90
Current Price$147,000.00
Upside-97.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS38.55%67.08%217.00181.00290.00115.00133.0042.5030.0031.507.004.57
YoY Growth--19.89%-37.59%152.17%-13.53%212.94%41.67%-4.76%350.00%53.27%256.87%
Dividend Yield--0.53%11.95%14.80%3.38%11.42%12.43%2.12%5.58%0.54%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)315,343.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)161,250.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)154,093.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)63,068.6039,417.8823,650.73
Cash Retained (M)154,093.00154,093.00154,093.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-63,068.60-39,417.88-23,650.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)91,024.40114,675.13130,442.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,875.001,875.001,875.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share48.5561.1669.57
LTM Dividend per Share86.0086.0086.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share48.5561.1669.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend134.55147.16155.57
WACC / Discount Rate9.63%9.63%9.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,440.50$5,014.02$7,867.22
Upside / Downside-97.66%-96.59%-94.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)315,343.00335,840.30357,669.91380,918.46405,678.16432,047.24445,008.66
Payout Ratio51.13%58.91%66.68%74.45%82.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)161,250.00197,836.25238,497.44283,608.72333,576.81388,842.51411,633.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.63%9.63%9.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)178,770.63180,465.14182,159.65
Year 2 PV (M)194,744.10198,453.43202,197.75
Year 3 PV (M)209,262.05215,269.21221,390.25
Year 4 PV (M)222,411.40230,964.72239,762.40
Year 5 PV (M)234,274.62245,590.17257,338.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,743,062.183,923,853.484,111,564.09
Equity Value (M)4,782,524.984,994,596.155,214,412.93
Shares Outstanding (M)1,875.001,875.001,875.00
Fair Value$2,550.68$2,663.78$2,781.02
Upside / Downside-98.26%-98.19%-98.11%

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