DDM Analysis: MKSI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$48.11 - $78.31	$61.63
Multi-Stage	$39.27 - $42.78	$40.99
Blended Fair Value	$51.31
Current Price	$123.77
Upside	-58.54%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.27%	5.41%	0.87	0.87	0.77	0.70	0.65	0.64	0.63	0.56	0.54	0.53
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	13.46%	9.24%	8.18%	1.08%	2.65%	11.07%	5.00%	1.09%	3.21%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.09%	0.66%	0.87%	0.47%	0.35%	0.79%	0.66%	0.49%	0.78%	1.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	279.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	59.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	220.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	55.80	34.88	20.93
Cash Retained (M)	220.00	220.00	220.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-55.80	-34.88	-20.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)	164.20	185.13	199.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	67.60	67.60	67.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.43	2.74	2.94
LTM Dividend per Share	0.87	0.87	0.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.43	2.74	2.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.30	3.61	3.82
WACC / Discount Rate	12.74%	12.74%	12.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$48.11	$61.63	$78.31
Upside / Downside	-61.13%	-50.21%	-36.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	279.00	297.14	316.45	337.02	358.92	382.25	393.72
Payout Ratio	21.15%	34.92%	48.69%	62.46%	76.23%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	59.00	103.75	154.07	210.50	273.61	344.03	364.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	12.74%	12.74%	12.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	91.16	92.03	92.89
Year 2 PV (M)	118.95	121.22	123.50
Year 3 PV (M)	142.79	146.89	151.07
Year 4 PV (M)	163.08	169.36	175.81
Year 5 PV (M)	180.18	188.88	197.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,958.18	2,052.76	2,150.96
Equity Value (M)	2,654.35	2,771.13	2,892.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	67.60	67.60	67.60
Fair Value	$39.27	$40.99	$42.78
Upside / Downside	-68.28%	-66.88%	-65.43%

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MKSI	MKS Inc.	0.52%	$0.87	21.15%
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MKS Inc. (MKSI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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