Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MAG Silver Corp. (MAG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SilverSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.18 - $7.04$6.12
Multi-Stage$6.79 - $7.41$7.09
Blended Fair Value$6.61
Current Price$21.13
Upside-68.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)104.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.8013.007.80
Cash Retained (M)64.6964.6964.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.80-13.00-7.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.8951.6956.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)104.40104.40104.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.500.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.500.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.800.870.92
WACC / Discount Rate13.09%13.09%13.09%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.18$6.12$7.04
Upside / Downside-75.51%-71.01%-66.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)104.01102.97101.94100.9299.9198.91101.88
Payout Ratio37.80%48.24%58.68%69.12%79.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.3249.6759.8269.7679.4989.0294.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate13.09%13.09%13.09%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)43.4843.9244.37
Year 2 PV (M)45.8346.7747.72
Year 3 PV (M)46.7848.2349.70
Year 4 PV (M)46.6648.6050.59
Year 5 PV (M)45.7448.1250.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)479.90504.89530.91
Equity Value (M)708.39740.53773.89
Shares Outstanding (M)104.40104.40104.40
Fair Value$6.79$7.09$7.41
Upside / Downside-67.89%-66.43%-64.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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