Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Public Joint stock company Rosseti Lenenergo (LSNG.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$361.25 - $667.09$625.16
Multi-Stage$103.12 - $113.00$107.97
Blended Fair Value$366.56
Current Price$13.34
Upside2,647.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS20.12%34.67%0.710.580.430.240.160.280.220.060.000.01
YoY Growth--22.42%35.57%77.82%53.24%-44.70%27.96%267.68%0.00%-100.00%-65.58%
Dividend Yield--3.75%4.88%5.76%3.99%2.72%4.79%3.90%1.20%0.00%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28,710.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,254.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)26,455.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,742.043,588.782,153.27
Cash Retained (M)26,455.7826,455.7826,455.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,742.04-3,588.78-2,153.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,713.7422,867.0124,302.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,559.228,559.228,559.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.422.672.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.422.672.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.682.943.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$361.25$625.16$667.09
Upside / Downside2,608.03%4,586.34%4,900.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28,710.2030,576.3732,563.8334,680.4836,934.7139,335.4740,515.53
Payout Ratio7.85%24.28%40.71%57.14%73.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,254.427,424.5113,257.1919,816.7527,173.0435,401.9237,476.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6,919.976,985.567,051.16
Year 2 PV (M)11,516.6011,735.9611,957.38
Year 3 PV (M)16,045.0616,505.6616,974.98
Year 4 PV (M)20,506.1221,294.7222,105.86
Year 5 PV (M)24,900.5126,103.2227,351.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)802,758.20841,531.72881,789.19
Equity Value (M)882,646.46924,156.84967,230.53
Shares Outstanding (M)8,559.228,559.228,559.22
Fair Value$103.12$107.97$113.00
Upside / Downside673.03%709.39%747.11%

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