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Definitive Analysis

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I.D.I. Insurance Company Ltd. (IDIN.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$496.55 - $1,282.38$752.99
Multi-Stage$360.31 - $392.66$376.19
Blended Fair Value$564.59
Current Price$219.60
Upside157.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.82%4.30%13.415.424.0610.832.716.4319.636.096.7710.15
YoY Growth--147.52%33.33%-62.50%300.00%-57.89%-67.24%222.22%-10.00%-33.33%15.38%
Dividend Yield--8.60%5.06%4.60%9.98%2.14%6.75%11.42%2.66%3.77%5.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)319.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)218.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)101.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)63.9239.9523.97
Cash Retained (M)101.61101.61101.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-63.92-39.95-23.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.6861.6577.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.7714.7714.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.554.175.26
LTM Dividend per Share14.7614.7614.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.554.175.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.3118.9320.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.18%9.18%9.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$496.55$752.99$1,282.38
Upside / Downside126.12%242.89%483.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)319.62340.40362.52386.08411.18437.91451.04
Payout Ratio68.21%72.57%76.93%81.28%85.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)218.01247.02278.87313.83352.14394.12417.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.18%9.18%9.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)224.13226.25228.38
Year 2 PV (M)229.58233.96238.37
Year 3 PV (M)234.42241.15248.01
Year 4 PV (M)238.67247.85257.29
Year 5 PV (M)242.36254.07266.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,153.064,353.654,561.92
Equity Value (M)5,322.225,556.935,800.19
Shares Outstanding (M)14.7714.7714.77
Fair Value$360.31$376.19$392.66
Upside / Downside64.07%71.31%78.81%

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