Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ICICI Bank Limited (ICICIBANK.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,405.56 - $12,393.14$4,323.35
Multi-Stage$1,425.73 - $1,559.92$1,491.59
Blended Fair Value$2,907.47
Current Price$1,348.00
Upside115.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS51.36%8.61%9.767.764.821.920.001.231.622.384.754.79
YoY Growth--25.77%60.90%151.18%0.00%-100.00%-24.17%-31.89%-49.87%-0.85%11.95%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.64%0.52%0.27%0.00%0.35%0.37%0.86%1.64%2.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)533,002.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70,412.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)462,589.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106,600.5066,625.3139,975.19
Cash Retained (M)462,589.80462,589.80462,589.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-106,600.50-66,625.31-39,975.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)355,989.30395,964.49422,614.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,212.007,212.007,212.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share49.3654.9058.60
LTM Dividend per Share9.769.769.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share49.3654.9058.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend59.1264.6768.36
WACC / Discount Rate8.09%8.09%8.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,405.56$4,323.35$12,393.14
Upside / Downside78.45%220.72%819.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)533,002.50567,647.66604,544.76643,840.17685,689.78730,259.62752,167.41
Payout Ratio13.21%28.57%43.93%59.28%74.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70,412.70162,168.20265,554.42381,695.69511,813.36657,233.66695,754.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.09%8.09%8.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)148,617.87150,026.57151,435.27
Year 2 PV (M)223,030.49227,278.59231,566.77
Year 3 PV (M)293,787.49302,221.08310,814.53
Year 4 PV (M)361,021.46374,905.32389,185.84
Year 5 PV (M)424,860.68445,381.61466,687.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,831,017.639,257,559.099,700,425.28
Equity Value (M)10,282,335.6210,757,372.2611,250,115.63
Shares Outstanding (M)7,212.007,212.007,212.00
Fair Value$1,425.73$1,491.59$1,559.92
Upside / Downside5.77%10.65%15.72%

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