Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Finning International Inc. (FTT.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$116.18 - $307.47$177.53
Multi-Stage$129.29 - $141.86$135.46
Blended Fair Value$156.50
Current Price$64.65
Upside142.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.57%2.50%1.121.091.071.030.990.990.990.930.910.92
YoY Growth--3.42%1.39%3.60%4.51%0.00%0.00%6.40%1.63%-0.81%5.10%
Dividend Yield--2.77%2.72%3.18%2.75%3.09%6.55%4.09%3.04%3.68%4.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)684.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)155.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)529.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)136.8085.5051.30
Cash Retained (M)529.00529.00529.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-136.80-85.50-51.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)392.20443.50477.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)134.46134.46134.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.923.303.55
LTM Dividend per Share1.151.151.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.923.303.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.074.454.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.55%6.55%6.55%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Fair Value$116.18$177.53$307.47
Upside / Downside79.70%174.61%375.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)684.00710.96738.98768.11798.38829.85854.75
Payout Ratio22.66%36.13%49.60%63.06%76.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)155.00256.86366.51484.40611.02746.87790.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.55%6.55%6.55%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)238.76241.08243.40
Year 2 PV (M)316.67322.85329.09
Year 3 PV (M)389.03400.48412.15
Year 4 PV (M)456.13474.11492.62
Year 5 PV (M)518.24543.91570.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,465.1416,231.0417,026.98
Equity Value (M)17,383.9618,213.4619,074.82
Shares Outstanding (M)134.46134.46134.46
Fair Value$129.29$135.46$141.86
Upside / Downside99.98%109.52%119.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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