Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company

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Industry

Sector

Fevertree Drinks PLC (FEVR.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.17 - $4.67$3.89
Multi-Stage$4.82 - $5.26$5.03
Blended Fair Value$4.46
Current Price$9.34
Upside-52.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.72%0.00%0.170.160.580.160.150.150.120.080.040.01
YoY Growth--2.62%-72.24%273.91%3.37%-1.11%31.15%54.27%101.04%255.56%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.45%1.54%5.63%0.57%0.59%0.73%0.53%0.33%0.33%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.425.893.53
Cash Retained (M)7.107.107.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.42-5.89-3.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.321.213.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)118.54118.54118.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate9.72%9.72%9.72%
Growth Rate-0.28%0.72%1.72%
Fair Value$3.17$3.89$4.67
Upside / Downside-66.06%-58.34%-49.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47.1047.4447.7848.1248.4748.8150.28
Payout Ratio84.93%85.94%86.96%87.97%88.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.0040.7741.5542.3343.1343.9346.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.72%9.72%9.72%
Growth Rate-0.28%0.72%1.72%
Year 1 PV (M)36.7937.1637.53
Year 2 PV (M)33.8334.5135.20
Year 3 PV (M)31.1132.0533.02
Year 4 PV (M)28.6029.7630.96
Year 5 PV (M)26.2927.6329.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)414.29435.49457.54
Equity Value (M)570.90596.60623.28
Shares Outstanding (M)118.54118.54118.54
Fair Value$4.82$5.03$5.26
Upside / Downside-48.44%-46.12%-43.71%

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