Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

EPC Groupe (EXPL.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$520.71 - $1,408.95$801.06
Multi-Stage$358.49 - $392.28$375.07
Blended Fair Value$588.07
Current Price$199.00
Upside195.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.29%15.02%1.010.040.000.000.000.941.051.050.700.45
YoY Growth--2,298.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-9.63%-0.36%50.72%56.38%79.08%
Dividend Yield--0.54%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.25%1.24%1.15%1.02%0.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)43.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.185.743.44
Cash Retained (M)43.7243.7243.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.18-5.74-3.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)34.5437.9840.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.102.102.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.4718.1219.21
LTM Dividend per Share1.051.051.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.4718.1219.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.5219.1720.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.82%8.82%8.82%
Growth Rate5.27%6.27%7.27%
Fair Value$520.71$801.06$1,408.95
Upside / Downside161.66%302.54%608.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45.9248.8051.8655.1158.5762.2464.11
Payout Ratio4.79%21.83%38.87%55.92%72.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.2010.6520.1630.8242.7356.0259.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.82%8.82%8.82%
Growth Rate5.27%6.27%7.27%
Year 1 PV (M)9.709.799.88
Year 2 PV (M)16.7117.0317.35
Year 3 PV (M)23.2523.9224.60
Year 4 PV (M)29.3530.4831.64
Year 5 PV (M)35.0236.7238.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)637.52668.38700.43
Equity Value (M)751.54786.31822.37
Shares Outstanding (M)2.102.102.10
Fair Value$358.49$375.07$392.28
Upside / Downside80.15%88.48%97.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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