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Definitive Analysis

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Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Sud Rhône Alpes (CRSU.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$648.82 - $1,206.09$877.02
Multi-Stage$907.17 - $996.19$950.83
Blended Fair Value$913.93
Current Price$151.60
Upside502.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.56%1.36%4.383.933.463.113.573.683.583.853.863.73
YoY Growth--11.37%13.86%11.04%-12.74%-3.04%2.83%-7.00%-0.41%3.65%-2.70%
Dividend Yield--3.49%3.33%3.15%2.15%2.22%1.62%1.79%2.08%2.35%2.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)197.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)158.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.5624.7314.84
Cash Retained (M)158.32158.32158.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.56-24.73-14.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)118.75133.59143.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.534.534.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share26.2129.4931.67
LTM Dividend per Share8.728.728.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share26.2129.4931.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend34.9338.2140.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate1.56%2.56%3.56%
Fair Value$648.82$877.02$1,206.09
Upside / Downside327.98%478.51%695.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)197.82202.89208.09213.42218.89224.50231.24
Payout Ratio19.97%33.98%47.98%61.99%75.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.5068.9399.84132.30166.34202.05213.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate1.56%2.56%3.56%
Year 1 PV (M)63.7864.4065.03
Year 2 PV (M)85.4687.1688.86
Year 3 PV (M)104.77107.90111.08
Year 4 PV (M)121.88126.75131.77
Year 5 PV (M)136.97143.85151.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,596.723,777.313,965.08
Equity Value (M)4,109.594,307.374,512.83
Shares Outstanding (M)4.534.534.53
Fair Value$907.17$950.83$996.19
Upside / Downside498.40%527.20%557.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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