Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Crookes Brothers Limited (CKS.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$74.65 - $127.55$97.57
Multi-Stage$89.34 - $97.39$93.29
Blended Fair Value$95.43
Current Price$28.00
Upside240.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS24.45%2.77%2.020.000.000.640.130.680.801.511.661.12
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%374.12%-80.05%-15.65%-47.04%-9.09%48.63%-27.06%
Dividend Yield--7.07%0.00%0.00%1.58%0.31%1.57%1.80%2.75%2.56%2.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)84.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.7411.096.65
Cash Retained (M)4.674.674.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.74-11.09-6.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-13.07-6.42-1.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.1415.1415.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.86-0.42-0.13
LTM Dividend per Share5.555.555.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.86-0.42-0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.695.135.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate2.71%3.71%4.71%
Fair Value$74.65$97.57$127.55
Upside / Downside166.60%248.47%355.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88.7091.9995.4198.95102.62106.43109.62
Payout Ratio94.73%93.79%92.84%91.89%90.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)84.0386.2788.5790.9393.3395.79101.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate2.71%3.71%4.71%
Year 1 PV (M)78.2779.0379.80
Year 2 PV (M)72.9074.3375.77
Year 3 PV (M)67.9069.9071.94
Year 4 PV (M)63.2365.7368.30
Year 5 PV (M)58.8761.8064.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,011.501,061.711,113.89
Equity Value (M)1,352.681,412.491,474.53
Shares Outstanding (M)15.1415.1415.14
Fair Value$89.34$93.29$97.39
Upside / Downside219.07%233.18%247.82%

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