Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Capital Gearing Trust p.l.c (CGT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$89.20 - $189.18$126.63
Multi-Stage$65.33 - $71.35$68.29
Blended Fair Value$97.46
Current Price$48.85
Upside99.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS41.14%42.88%0.830.780.530.340.250.150.080.050.030.03
YoY Growth--6.55%47.54%55.93%38.16%65.41%83.01%74.65%35.13%17.26%25.00%
Dividend Yield--1.73%1.66%1.12%0.66%0.52%0.35%0.19%0.12%0.09%0.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)75.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.0211.897.13
Cash Retained (M)75.9475.9475.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.02-11.89-7.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)56.9264.0568.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.0020.0020.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.853.203.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.960.960.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.853.203.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.804.164.40
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$89.20$126.63$189.18
Upside / Downside82.61%159.23%287.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95.12101.30107.89114.90122.37130.32134.23
Payout Ratio20.16%34.13%48.10%62.06%76.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.1834.5751.8971.3193.04117.29124.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)31.1331.4331.72
Year 2 PV (M)42.0842.8843.69
Year 3 PV (M)52.0853.5855.10
Year 4 PV (M)61.1963.5565.97
Year 5 PV (M)69.4772.8376.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,050.631,101.381,154.07
Equity Value (M)1,306.601,365.651,426.87
Shares Outstanding (M)20.0020.0020.00
Fair Value$65.33$68.29$71.35
Upside / Downside33.74%39.79%46.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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