Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Banco Mercantil de Investimentos S.A. (BMIN3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$91.71 - $331.70$290.56
Multi-Stage$41.83 - $45.77$43.77
Blended Fair Value$167.16
Current Price$17.02
Upside882.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS43.48%0.00%1.261.400.110.240.170.210.150.770.140.34
YoY Growth---10.07%1,206.38%-55.47%39.38%-16.62%42.51%-81.19%435.34%-57.30%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.50%9.56%0.91%1.47%1.08%1.42%0.79%6.42%0.44%1.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.611.010.60
Cash Retained (M)5.775.775.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.61-1.01-0.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.164.765.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.834.834.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.860.991.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.860.991.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$91.71$290.56$331.70
Upside / Downside438.84%1,607.14%1,848.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8.058.579.139.7210.3511.0311.36
Payout Ratio28.32%40.65%52.99%65.33%77.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.283.484.846.358.049.9210.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.223.263.29
Year 2 PV (M)4.144.224.30
Year 3 PV (M)5.035.185.33
Year 4 PV (M)5.906.136.36
Year 5 PV (M)6.747.067.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)176.79185.33194.20
Equity Value (M)201.83211.18220.87
Shares Outstanding (M)4.834.834.83
Fair Value$41.83$43.77$45.77
Upside / Downside145.76%157.14%168.95%

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