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Definitive Analysis

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Bait Bakfar Ltd (BKFR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.03 - $26.80$21.50
Multi-Stage$19.70 - $21.56$20.61
Blended Fair Value$21.06
Current Price$13.94
Upside51.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS19.03%0.00%0.430.430.430.000.250.180.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%40.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.16%3.73%4.26%0.00%1.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)114.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)84.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.0014.378.62
Cash Retained (M)84.9984.9984.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.00-14.37-8.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)61.9970.6276.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.2069.2069.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.901.021.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.901.021.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.451.54
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate2.03%3.03%4.03%
Fair Value$17.03$21.50$26.80
Upside / Downside22.13%54.26%92.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)114.99118.48122.07125.77129.59133.52137.52
Payout Ratio26.09%38.87%51.65%64.44%77.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.0046.0563.0581.04100.07120.17127.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate2.03%3.03%4.03%
Year 1 PV (M)41.4641.8742.27
Year 2 PV (M)51.1052.1153.13
Year 3 PV (M)59.1360.8962.68
Year 4 PV (M)65.7368.3571.04
Year 5 PV (M)71.0674.6178.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,074.691,128.391,184.22
Equity Value (M)1,363.181,426.221,491.65
Shares Outstanding (M)69.2069.2069.20
Fair Value$19.70$20.61$21.56
Upside / Downside41.31%47.85%54.63%

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