Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Avax S.A. (AVAX.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.45 - $80.20$27.74
Multi-Stage$37.06 - $40.87$38.92
Blended Fair Value$33.33
Current Price$2.13
Upside1,464.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%110.31%0.030.070.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---55.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-93.94%1,202.05%-62.86%
Dividend Yield--1.99%3.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.03%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.497.804.68
Cash Retained (M)57.9857.9857.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.49-7.80-4.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.4950.1753.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.34147.34147.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.340.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.340.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate2.67%2.67%2.67%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Fair Value$14.45$27.74$80.20
Upside / Downside578.18%1,202.49%3,665.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.4363.2564.0864.9365.7866.6568.65
Payout Ratio7.13%23.70%40.28%56.85%73.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.4514.9925.8136.9148.3059.9863.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.67%2.67%2.67%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Year 1 PV (M)14.4614.6014.75
Year 2 PV (M)24.0024.4824.97
Year 3 PV (M)33.1034.1035.12
Year 4 PV (M)41.7843.4745.21
Year 5 PV (M)50.0352.5855.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,296.395,565.695,845.83
Equity Value (M)5,459.775,734.926,021.10
Shares Outstanding (M)147.34147.34147.34
Fair Value$37.06$38.92$40.87
Upside / Downside1,639.71%1,727.39%1,818.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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