Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gold By Gold S.A. (ALGLD.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Other Precious MetalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.88 - $1.20$1.04
Multi-Stage$2.58 - $2.85$2.71
Blended Fair Value$1.88
Current Price$3.18
Upside-40.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.59%-2.96%0.030.030.040.040.040.040.040.040.040.04
YoY Growth--0.37%-25.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%-0.52%-0.41%-0.51%0.09%0.04%
Dividend Yield--0.68%2.59%2.19%2.81%3.88%3.41%2.87%2.88%2.78%2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)0.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.090.060.03
Cash Retained (M)0.210.210.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.09-0.06-0.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.120.150.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.702.702.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate-7.59%-6.59%-5.59%
Fair Value$0.88$1.04$1.20
Upside / Downside-72.47%-67.26%-62.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)0.450.420.400.370.350.320.33
Payout Ratio53.50%60.80%68.10%75.40%82.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.240.260.270.280.290.290.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate-7.59%-6.59%-5.59%
Year 1 PV (M)0.240.240.24
Year 2 PV (M)0.230.240.24
Year 3 PV (M)0.220.230.24
Year 4 PV (M)0.210.220.23
Year 5 PV (M)0.200.210.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)5.856.186.52
Equity Value (M)6.967.327.69
Shares Outstanding (M)2.702.702.70
Fair Value$2.58$2.71$2.85
Upside / Downside-18.89%-14.71%-10.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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